Total Driving (2022-23 PGA TOUR season) Keith Mitchell 26 (15 11) Shane Lowry 45 (32 13) Scottie Scheffler 56 (28 28) A win in Arnies tournament would be quite a moment for the young man. At 7,322 yards and par-71, Rivieras distance doesnt jump off the page. Since winning the FedEx St. Jude Championship last August, his health has gone into question, so Ive been hesitant to back him in 2023 until we see signs of a full recovery. PGA Tour golfers are, not surprisingly, capable of hitting the ball farther than average players -- not only off the tee but also with each club in the bag. So 150 times 36 equals 5,400. And, like Novak, he's doing it nicely. Those at the top of Genesis Invitational odds boards rarely prove able to close the door at this event. In addition to Scheffler and McIlroy, the list of other Arnold Palmer Invitational past champions returning to the field this week includes Tyrrell Hatton, Francesco Molinari, Jason Day, and Martin Laird. ), multiply by 36, and choose the tees that most closely match that yardage. An even more loaded field is in store for the 2023 Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles. 4 Reasons Why Your Short Game Doesn't Improve, and How To Fix It . Agronomically, Torrey Pines (South), TPC Harding Park, and Golf Club de Chapultepec share similar Poa greens and penal Kikuyu rough. Scroll to the bottom of this article to compare complete API outright odds across legal U.S. sportsbooks. That distinction (and his presence) adds more prestige to the tournament. For the season, Paul Casey ranked 9th in corrected proximity and 7th in SG approach. With such a loaded field this week, it is seemingly more of a practice of picking which elite player is going to win. Outside of Majors, this is poised to be the strongest field in golf this year. Riviera CC calls for creative shot shaping, imaginative ball striking, and delicate touch around the greens. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. For PGA and LPGA players, the best data available tracks carry distance. The Genesis Invitational slightly favors longer hitters with great short game, particularly on Poa. Wrap that altogether and the top-10 players in terms of Comp Course History are Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa, Will Zalatoris, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama, Xander Schauffele, Keegan Bradley, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Shane Lowry. The opening hole is a downhill, 500-yard Par-5. (Im air-quoting the designation because it could just as easily be labeled a difficult par-4.) I played when the huge advances in equipment was just beginning. So, Sand Saves will be an important stat to track this week. Every eligible PGA TOUR member inside the OWGRtop 100 with the exception of Aaron Wise, Maverick McNealy, Chris Kirk, and Ben Griffin are here to tee it up. It is also worth noting that he is No. ). He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Notable veterans who have made no more than one prior appearance at the Arnold Palmer Invitational include Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay, Xander Schauffele, and Jordan Spieth. As always here atTheLines, well go over an early look at the tournament, giving you what you need to know before the Genesis Invitational odds even hit the board. My advice to Frank Nobilo is to ignore proximity and use SG approach instead to silence the critics. Rose has worked as a print and online journalist for more than 20 years. Justin Thomas hits it as close as anybody on the PGA Tour. The fairways have been made wider and longer but the rough is about as close to U.S. Francesco Molinari a member at Riviera CC and top-10 finisher in this event in 2021 was also dominant in his victory at the 2018 Quicken Loans National at TPC Potomac. A peek at EVERYTHING in Justin Thomas golf bag, This new stat measures which PGA Tour players REALLY hit it closest, Jordan Spieth, a snap hook, a lefty stance, rules and one chaotic ending. If that trend continues, thenRory McIlroy, Chris Kirk, Matt Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton, Keegan Bradley, Scottie Scheffler, Viktor Hovland, Corey Conners, Billy Horschel, Gary Woodland, Jordan Spieth, Lucas Herbert, Sam Burns, Cameron Young, Russell Henley, and Collin Morikawa would each fit the bill. For Bay Hill course specs, hole-by-hole breakdown with yardages, and past API winners with their pre-tournament odds, visit our Arnold Palmer odds page. That has been proven here at Bay Hill with four visits to this tournament and finishes of 21st, 20th, 3rd, and 3rd. For a tournament with a field that left a lot to be desired, the magic of the PGA Tour shined through as Cole and Kirk separated themselves from the pack on Sunday afternoon. 1, 2, and 3 (Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, and Jon Rahm) highlight the field this week. Some of the bigger names in this field that check that box are Gary Woodland, Sungjae Im, Jon Rahm, Patrick Cantlay, Wyndham Clark, Tom Kim, Tom Hoge, Keegan Bradley, Collin Morikawa, and Rory McIlroy. in communications. Bay Hill is no different with five par-4s measuring over 450 yards and all four par-3s measuring over 200 yards. In 2020,Tyrrell Hattonsurvived severely windy conditions with a Sunday 74 to post a -4, which edged him past Marc Leishman by one stroke to claim victory. I also looked at Quail Hollow (Wells Fargo Championship), Congaree (CJ Cup 2022), and Southern Hills (PGA Championship 2022). Hes won here before at Bay Hill back in 2016, he just finished 5th at Scottsdale three weeks ago, hes won at Quail Hollow, took 11th at Congaree back in October, and last summer, before this transition really blossomed, he made the cut and finished 55th at Southern Hills in the PGA Championship. As we flip the calendar to March, some madness in the world of golf is likely on tap in the coming weeks as well. This may be good week to monitor U.S. Open futures if value players impress. For bettors sake, youll find better value looking anywhere else on the outright board. The Bermuda grass greens are bigger than average Tour size and they are firm and fast. There are just eight players who rank top-40 in scoring from both hole ranges: Max Homa, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, Sungjae Im, Tom Hoge, Jason Day, and Aaron Baddeley. Over the last 10 years, Dustin Johnson is the only favorite at odds shorter that 25-1 to win the Genesis Invitational. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? The top 10 in this category are: McIlroy, Fitzpatrick, Scheffler, Finau, Homa, Bradley, Morikawa, Shane Lowry, Sungjae Im, and Tommy Fleetwood. Riviera CC also features a number of elevation changes and is heavily bunkered both around the fairways and green-side complexes. That means a lot of Scrambling from the green-side rough and difficult bunkers. Scroll to the bottom of this article to compare complete outright odds across legal U.S. sportsbooks. How do LIV Golfs TV ratings really compare to the PGA Tour? Eliminate the longest five and the shortest five, and then figure out the middle of the remaining group. But the ideal player for Riviera CC should have total driving be a strength of their game. The top-10 players in SG: APP entering this week are Tom Hoge, Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy, Tom Kim, Collin Morikawa, Scottie Scheffler, Will Zalatoris, Tony Finau, Mark Hubbard, and Shane Lowry. Bet on any golfer below by clicking on the odds in the table. There are 11 players who rank top-40 in SG: ARG, Scrambling Gained, and Bogey Avoidance: Max Homa, Patrick Cantlay, Tommy Fleetwood, Sahith Theegala, Hideki Matsuyama, Tom Kim, Seamus Power, JJ Spaun, Andrew Putnam, Aaron Baddeley, and Mackenzie Hughes. This is one of the rare weeks on the PGA TOUR where Course History is sticky enough to prioritize over Comp Course History. Golf course length of 18-hole course ranges from 6,500 to 6,900 yards which is approximately 5,900 to 6,400 meters. Im not sure of the exact circumstance, but its not hard to find an example that illustrates the point. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. There is a long list of players who have enjoyed repeated success at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Riviera CC is always known to keep scoring in check and reward shot makers with well-rounded skillsets from tee to green. TPC Potomac stands out, with top 10 finishers at the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship featuring many perennial Riviera standouts. In his career, he has three Top 20 finishes at Bay Hill, two Top 10s at Quail Hollow, and finished 34th in the PGA Championship at Southern Hills. Right now, the forecast is calling for calm conditions on Thursday and Sunday but Friday and Saturday could blow well over 20 mph. That checks out considering hes gained strokes putting in 11 of his 14 career appearances. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! Will Zalatoris in difficult conditions. Par 3, 4, 5 are more common with many golf courses but some courses include Par 6. In true Arnie fashion, always tinkering with his swing and his clubs, he did the same over the years with this golf course. With that said, there are still plenty of signals to draw from other long and difficult comp conditions. He then cashed in on his rising stock by taking a Saudi paycheck months later and faded to golf obscurity ever since. That means Arnold Palmer Invitational odds will include most of the best players in the world. Its hardif not impossibleto win with poor putting and even worse approach shots. We hate touts. Let the right arm straighten in the downswing. Lets also remember, he lost in a playoff to Scottie Scheffler last year at TPC Scottsdale, one of our correlated courses. That means an emphasis on Distance, long-irons, and Short Game around firm and fast Bermuda greens. The Arnold Palmer Invitational has caused the highest percentage of penalty strokes in three of the last four years. From short approach shots (60-100 yards) the average proximity is shown below from 3 different lie types: fairway, rough and bunker. PGA Tour Average Proximity to Hole - Fairway (in yards) . Scott is in great form to continue his strong play at Riviera this week. The stretching 7,466 yard, Par 72 features a set of tough par-4s, plus 3 of the par-5s measure over 555 yards. In any case, the field is still stacked without him, and the Elevated events have not disappointed yet, so we should be in store for another captivating week of high-level golf. The presence of these reachable par-4s and par-5s creates hidden distance in the rest of the course, which also includes three par-3s over 190 yards and six par-4s over 450 yards. 1,283 player in the world, Tiger Woods. PGA TOUR on Twitter: ". They may again if they can play from the fairway and make up for it with elite Short Game. Patrick Cantlay (-125) over Justin Thomas, GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill. Their success off the tee, however, didnt turn any of the three into dominant players. No, he is not a tout. What is Jim Nantzs career lowlight? Let him tell you about adult film, Its f hard: Jon Rahm comes back to Earth at brutal Bay Hill. Ten feet farther from the hole on 72 approach shots is an enormous difference. Nine of the Top 10 players in the OWGR are present, 23 of the Top 25 and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world rankings are scheduled to tee it up this Thursday. How to watch the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational on Friday: Round 2 TV schedule, streaming, Is Jon Rahm now chasing Tiger Woods? I was fortunate to enjoy a (relatively) sweat free wire-to-wire win from Niemann last year. A slew of long Par 4s and long par-3s require long irons into multi-tiered greens at different elevation. As an elevated event this time around in 2023, the purse will be among the highest of any non-Major event this season. Since 2020, Zal has delivered 17 top-10 finishes, 12 of which coming in comp difficult conditions between Torrey Pines, Muirfield Village, Riviera CC, Winged Foot, The Country Club, Southern Hills, Kiawah Island, Augusta National, and right here at Bay Hill. Professional golfers with the longest average driving distance on the PGA tour in 2022 (in yards) [Graph], PGA, August 24 . The win foreshadowed better results later to come for Scheffler in Majors. Harman ranks 21st in this field over the last 24 rounds on hard courses with long rough. There are so many memorable holes at Riviera CC: Look at Viktor Hovland's line on 15. On the other hand, it can also lower your expectations! Free learning! Cantlay ranks 5th on Tour in Total Driving, being both long and accurate. Hes never won on the east coast before, and had avoided coming to this event up until last year, where he lost 5+ strokes with his short game. If you look at the pre-tournament odds of the last seven winners at Bay Hill, you will find that long shots are few and far between: Scottie Scheffler (16-1), Bryson DeChambeau (12-1), Tyrrell Hatton (55-1), Francesco Molinari (33-1), Rory McIlroy (20-1), Marc Leishman (100-1), Jason Day (14-1). All of a sudden, a 500-yard hole may play more like 440 yards, putting it squarely into a par 4. Time: 2:30-5:30 p.m. A year later, he continues to suit Riviera CC well and claims the No. I typically dont feed that many categories into my model. It appears the lingering neck injury may now be behind him and, with back-to-back high finishes on this west coast swing, hes poised to make another run at contention in Los Angeles. Holmes was 55th at 70.52 while Watson tied for 64th at 70.62. Scott credited his repeated success at Riviera to his comfort on Poa greens. From one elevated event to another, the party was only just getting started in Phoenix.
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