We identify swing states as. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. Election results provided by the Associated Press. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. Tap or hover to see names. Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. Trump's lone breakthrough in the "blue wall" in 2020 was the one electoral vote from Maine, which he again won. We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. Yet, because of just two densely packed urban clusters, the popular vote ended Trump 2,970,733 / Clinton 2,926,441. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. These are general election results for the years listed. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. Success! That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. I think it's the state to watch. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. Which ones are more politically competitive? Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. Idaho. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? Winner chosen by the House of Representatives One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. In Nebraska, two of the five electoral votes go to the winner of the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump, despite Trump losing the latter election. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. Gov. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. In 1908, The New York Times printed a special color map, using blue for Democrats and yellow for Republicans, to detail Theodore Roosevelt's 1904 electoral victory. And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. If . Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. In 2016, President Donald Trump won the state by .7%, which totalled about 44,000 votes, and flipped three counties from blue to red. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. . Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". 2020 Electoral Map Results. Forty-seven of the 50 states were consistent in voting for George W. Bush or his Democratic opponent in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. #V. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. Red States 1 Arizona 1 Alabama 2 California 2 If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. Same caution about borders applies. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Explained! [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). It is not a red state. Red states vs. blue states. An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama, and their suburbs were divided. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. Like around the country, we're seeing. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. Special elections, if any, are excluded. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. But. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. VOA explains. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. All Rights Reserved. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. As a result, the blue counties tend to be the smaller ones so blue is visually less represented than it should be based on vote totals. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. 4, another 2020 red state. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. In September, just eight states had. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan). An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. Manage Settings [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? The. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy.
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